← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Aug 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 41% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Bastia win | 29% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Amiens −0.25 | 49% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Amadou Ciss · Amiens |
| 28' | 🟨 | Kapitbafan Djoco · Bastia |
| 36' | ⚽ | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 44' | ⚽ | Issiar Drame · Bastia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jeremy Gelin · Amiens |
| 85' | 🟨 | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 85' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟥 | Johny Placide · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 49.00 | 687.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1451.44 | 1537.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.62 | 22.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.57 | 27.68 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |