← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Aug 12, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 49% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
| Dunkerque win | 24% | 4.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Guingamp −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 63' | 🟨 | Jonathan Iglesias · Guingamp |
| 71' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Dunkerque |
| 80' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
| 80' | 🟨 | Donatien Gomis · Guingamp |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Ángel Orelien · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julien Anziani · Dunkerque |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amadou Ba-Sy · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 833.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1521.74 | 1337.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 57.64 | -25.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 48.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.62 | 27.10 |
| state index | 0.95 | -1.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |