← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Aug 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 46% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.06 |
| Annecy win | 23% | 4.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy +0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Guingamp +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over | 34% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexy Bosetti · Annecy |
| 54' | ⚽ | Hugo Picard · Guingamp |
| 72' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 74' | ⚽ | Amadou Sagna · Guingamp |
| 79' | 🟨 | Gaby Jean · Annecy |
| 89' | 🟨 | Yacouba Barry · Annecy |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 826.00 | 826.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1451.78 | 1503.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.19 | 33.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.72 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.83 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -2.01 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 27.26 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.13 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |