← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Aug 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Paris FC win | 28% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Paris FC +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Paris FC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Caen |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Paris FC |
| 33' | 🟥 | Jules Gaudin · Paris FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 52' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 62' | ⚽ | Ali Abdi · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 2 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade de l'Aube |
| coach days | 65.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1517.98 | 1508.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.14 | 4.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 30.02 | 26.35 |
| state index | 0.61 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.23 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |