← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Aug 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 48% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Valenciennes win | 24% | 4.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| AJ Auxerre +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Ousmane Camara · AJ Auxerre |
| 22' | ⚽ | Jonathan Buatu · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 46' | 🟨 | Clement Akpa · AJ Auxerre |
| 61' | ⚽ | Ousmane Camara · AJ Auxerre |
| 70' | ⚽ | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
| 79' | ⚽ | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 126.00 | 308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1438.65 | 1585.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.23 | -14.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 23.47 | 26.37 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |