← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Aug 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
| Rodez win | 24% | 4.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.5 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Rajot · Rodez |
| 18' | 🟨 | Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa · Rodez |
| 27' | 🟨 | Wilitty Younoussa · Rodez |
| 45' | ⚽ | Yoann Touzghar · Ajaccio |
| 76' | 🟨 | Abdel Hakim Abdallah · Rodez |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mohamed Youssouf · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 1130.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1486.95 | 1464.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.78 | -1.11 |
| eye test v1 | -1.61 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 69.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.78 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 31.20 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.49 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.80 | 24.58 |
| state index | -0.72 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |