← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, May 19, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 53% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
| Braunschweig win | 23% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under | 36% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Jan Hendrik Marx · Braunschweig |
| 36' | ⚽ | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 48' | ⚽ | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 53' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 56' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
| 57' | 🟥 | Almamy Touré · Kaiserslautern |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 69' | ⚽ | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 76' | ⚽ | Aaron Opoku · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 108.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1438.75 | 1444.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.63 | 12.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 2.02 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| league points | 39.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 38.00 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.86 | 26.89 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |