β 2. Bundesliga 2023 Β· Sun, May 19, 01:30 PM UTC Β· ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 50% | 1.92 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 26% | 3.80 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth β0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| FC Schalke 04 β0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under | 33% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | π¨ | Keke Topp Β· FC Schalke 04 |
| 26' | π¨ | Lino Tempelmann Β· FC Schalke 04 |
| 34' | π¨ | Bryan Lasme Β· FC Schalke 04 |
| 53' | π¨ | Yusuf Kabadayi Β· FC Schalke 04 |
| 55' | π¨ | Steven Van Der Sloot Β· FC Schalke 04 |
| 67' | β½ | Branimir Hrgota Β· Greuther Furth |
| 82' | β½ | Tim Lemperle Β· Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 688.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 1.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1462.51 | 1521.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.33 | 22.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.60 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| league points | 48.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 8.88 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.10 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.59 | 26.84 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |