← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, May 12, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Hannover win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.41 |
| Under | 32% | 3.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Hannover |
| 29' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 32' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
| 38' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 44' | ⚽ | Paul Nebel · Karlsruhe |
| 54' | 🟨 | Lars Stindl · Karlsruhe |
| 65' | ⚽ | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | 🟨 | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1562.00 | 681.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1574.39 | 1525.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.28 | -0.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.50 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 55.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 27.03 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |