← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, May 12, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 43% | 2.25 |
| SV Wehen win | 29% | 3.42 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| SV Wehen −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Þórir Jóhann Helgason · Braunschweig |
| 54' | 🟨 | Robert Ivanov · Braunschweig |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ermin Bičakčić · Braunschweig |
| 77' | 🟨 | Antonio Jonjić · SV Wehen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Anton Donkor · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 193.00 | 41.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1437.00 | 1396.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.21 | -44.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.46 |
| league points | 38.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 27.83 |
| state index | -0.49 | -1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |