← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, May 11, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 28% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 25' | 🟨 | Steven Van Der Sloot · FC Schalke 04 |
| 27' | 🟨 | Marius Müller · FC Schalke 04 |
| 27' | 🟨 | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
| 32' | ⚽ | Sarpreet Singh · Hansa Rostock |
| 45' | ⚽ | Paul Seguin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 70' | 🟥 | Sarpreet Singh · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | John-Patrick Strauss · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Arena AufSchalke |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 223.00 | 437.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1516.24 | 1376.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.12 | -19.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.86 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| league points | 41.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 27.99 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.39 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |