← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, May 11, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 40% | 2.39 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.40 |
| Under | 32% | 3.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Kaiserslautern |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
| 25' | 🟨 | Ben Zolinski · Kaiserslautern |
| 29' | 🟨 | Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha |
| 30' | 🟨 | Jean Zimmer · Kaiserslautern |
| 39' | ⚽ | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jeremy Dudziak · Hertha |
| 67' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 406.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1532.30 | 1447.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.21 | 27.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| league points | 48.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 6.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.65 | 26.74 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |