← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, May 10, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Greuther Furth win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 59' | 🟨 | Daniel Elfadli · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amara Condé · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1194.00 | 679.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1438.40 | 1461.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.58 | -0.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 45.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| league points | 38.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 64.40 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | 1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 24.98 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 1.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |