← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Tue, May 7, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 45% | 2.15 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 28% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Keke Topp · FC Schalke 04 |
| 5' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 56' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 65' | ⚽ | Assan Ouédraogo · FC Schalke 04 |
| 66' | 🟨 | Tobias Mohr · FC Schalke 04 |
| 75' | ⚽ | Keke Topp · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 22 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 188.00 | 219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1340.69 | 1502.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.86 | 17.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 25.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 9.21 | 9.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.71 | 27.48 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |