← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, May 4, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Magdeburg win | 27% | 3.58 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 20' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · Magdeburg |
| 49' | 🟨 | Filip Kaloč · Kaiserslautern |
| 53' | 🟨 | Tymoteusz Puchacz · Kaiserslautern |
| 57' | ⚽ | Kenny Prince Redondo · Kaiserslautern |
| 75' | 🟨 | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 79' | ⚽ | Daniel Heber · Magdeburg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Bryan Silva Teixeira · Magdeburg |
| 83' | ⚽ | Jan Elvedi · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 93.00 | 1188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1432.27 | 1453.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.61 | 15.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 36.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.31 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 27.40 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.49 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |