← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, May 4, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: R. Hempel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Braunschweig win | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Braunschweig +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Þórir Jóhann Helgason · Braunschweig |
| 15' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 33' | ⚽ | Tim Lemperle · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟥 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 67' | ⚽ | Robert Wagner · Greuther Furth |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hasan Kuruçay · Braunschweig |
| 73' | 🟨 | Anderson-Lenda Lucoqui · Braunschweig |
| 74' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 79' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Pfaffenroth · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 673.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1463.97 | 1434.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.20 | 16.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 2.00 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 46.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.76 | 26.93 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.16 | -1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |