← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Apr 28, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Greuther Furth win | 27% | 3.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| SV Wehen −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.71 |
| Under | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
| 7' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · SV Wehen |
| 15' | 🟨 | Philipp Muller · Greuther Furth |
| 18' | ⚽ | Nikolas Agrafiotis · SV Wehen |
| 26' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 38' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 43' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 56' | 🟨 | Simon Asta · Greuther Furth |
| 65' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · SV Wehen |
| 70' | 🟨 | Oualid Mhamdi · Greuther Furth |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 10 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| 83' | ⚽ | Lukas Petkov · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emanuel Taffertshofer · SV Wehen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonas Urbig · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| coach days | 27.00 | 667.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1418.85 | 1447.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.76 | -22.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| league points | 35.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.41 | 24.59 |
| state index | -1.19 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |