← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Apr 28, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Magdeburg −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.51 |
| Under | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Amara Condé · Magdeburg |
| 40' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thalhammer · VfL Osnabruck |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Bryan Silva Teixeira · Magdeburg |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 57' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
| 72' | 🟨 | Florian Kleinhansl · VfL Osnabruck |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 83' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1182.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1458.81 | 1335.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.26 | 2.00 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 37.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 27.70 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |