← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 39% | 2.55 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Cisse · FC Schalke 04 |
| 41' | 🟨 | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 55' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 65' | 🟨 | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 67' | ⚽ | Ao Tanaka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 81' | 🟨 | Keke Topp · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Ouwejan · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joshua Quarshie · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Arena AufSchalke |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 209.00 | 816.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1500.81 | 1632.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.35 | 39.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 37.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 26.19 |
| state index | 0.16 | 1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |