← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: D. Siebert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Braunschweig win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hamburger SV +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 22' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 33' | 🟨 | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
| 69' | ⚽ | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 178.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1449.41 | 1581.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.35 | -2.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| league points | 37.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.07 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.45 | 26.14 |
| state index | 0.56 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.21 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |