← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Apr 26, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 72% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.50 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 10% | 9.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −1.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | ⚽ | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 63' | 🟨 | Juan José Perea · Hansa Rostock |
| 66' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 72' | 🟨 | John-Patrick Strauss · Hansa Rostock |
| 81' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Stafylidis · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 512.00 | 422.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1628.03 | 1385.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.59 | -4.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| league points | 63.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.67 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 27.78 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.41 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |