← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Apr 21, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 39% | 2.54 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hansa Rostock +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Jamie Lawrence · Magdeburg |
| 18' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Magdeburg |
| 24' | 🟨 | Herbert Bockhorn · Magdeburg |
| 37' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Stafylidis · Hansa Rostock |
| 40' | ⚽ | Daniel Heber · Magdeburg |
| 41' | 🟨 | Júnior Brumado · Hansa Rostock |
| 41' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 55' | 🟨 | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 68' | 🟨 | Nico Neidhart · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 417.00 | 1175.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1401.68 | 1443.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.20 | -25.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 37.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 26.53 |
| state index | -0.06 | -1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |