← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 39% | 2.51 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Anton Donkor · Braunschweig |
| 32' | 🟨 | Anton Donkor · Braunschweig |
| 40' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 58' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 58' | 🟨 | Johan Arath Gomez · Braunschweig |
| 59' | ⚽ | Johan Arath Gomez · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 171.00 | 171.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1352.33 | 1432.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.30 | 51.06 |
| eye test v1 | -1.11 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.96 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| league points | 24.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 27.35 |
| state index | -0.75 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -1.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |