← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| SV Wehen win | 22% | 4.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Filip Kaloč · Kaiserslautern |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jean Zimmer · Kaiserslautern |
| 40' | 🟨 | Marlon Ritter · Kaiserslautern |
| 40' | 🟨 | Keanan Bennetts · SV Wehen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · SV Wehen |
| 71' | 🟨 | Nick Bätzner · SV Wehen |
| 74' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 79.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1408.60 | 1417.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.91 | -48.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| league points | 32.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 27.15 |
| state index | -0.63 | -1.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |