← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.57 |
| Greuther Furth win | 16% | 6.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Greuther Furth −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Jamil Siebert · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 29' | 🟨 | Marco Meyerhofer · Greuther Furth |
| 69' | ⚽ | Vincent Vermeij · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 78' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Düsseldorf Arena |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 809.00 | 659.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 3.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1628.42 | 1451.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.23 | -40.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 56.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.06 | 25.32 |
| state index | 1.17 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |