← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Apr 12, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Hertha −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Pálko Dárdai · Hertha |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 45' | 🟨 | Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha |
| 59' | ⚽ | Pálko Dárdai · Hertha |
| 63' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · Hansa Rostock |
| 86' | ⚽ | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 377.00 | 408.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1569.51 | 1409.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.42 | 11.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 64.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| league points | 44.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.14 | 28.01 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |