← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Apr 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: W. Haslberger
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 37% | 2.66 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Erik Engelhardt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 15' | 🟨 | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 21' | ⚽ | Christian Joe Conteh · VfL Osnabruck |
| 43' | 🟨 | Branimir Hrgota · Greuther Furth |
| 54' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.40 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 158.00 | 646.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1339.85 | 1461.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.76 | -69.11 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 21.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 24.77 |
| state index | -0.46 | -1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |