← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Apr 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Willenborg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 52% | 1.85 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 24% | 4.09 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Andreas Voglsammer · Hannover |
| 17' | ⚽ | Assan Ouédraogo · FC Schalke 04 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Bright Arrey-Mbi · Hannover |
| 58' | 🟨 | Paul Seguin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 81' | ⚽ (og) | Paul Seguin · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 646.00 | 189.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1526.82 | 1485.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.08 | -9.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| league points | 45.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.93 | 28.19 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |