← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Apr 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.22 |
| Braunschweig win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 35' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Iyoha · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 42' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 51' | 🟨 | Hasan Kuruçay · Braunschweig |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Christos Tzolis · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 90' | 🟨 | Takashi Uchino · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Düsseldorf Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 796.00 | 158.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1612.68 | 1438.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.60 | 37.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.86 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.81 |
| league points | 50.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.98 | 7.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.78 | 27.27 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |