← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Mar 31, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| SV Wehen −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · SV Wehen |
| 20' | 🟨 | Oumar Diakhite · VfL Osnabruck |
| 31' | ⚽ | Christian Joe Conteh · VfL Osnabruck |
| 38' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 58' | 🟨 | Thijmen Goppel · SV Wehen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Philipp Kühn · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | 🟥 | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 28 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 881.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1456.36 | 1324.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.85 | 10.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 34.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 15.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.96 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.56 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |