← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Mar 31, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 37% | 2.68 |
| Magdeburg win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Magdeburg +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Max Christiansen · Hannover |
| 29' | ⚽ | Jannik Dehm · Hannover |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Hannover |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 84' | ⚽ | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1154.00 | 639.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.34 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1453.55 | 1509.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.51 | -8.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| league points | 31.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 14.67 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.88 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.42 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.78 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |