← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Mar 31, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Greuther Furth win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Greuther Furth +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Dennis Hadžikadunić · Hamburger SV |
| 36' | 🟨 | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 49' | 🟨 | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 56' | ⚽ | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 73' | 🟨 | Oussama Haddadi · Greuther Furth |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jomaine Consbruch · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 639.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1459.77 | 1592.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -64.66 | -10.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 39.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 14.98 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 26.29 |
| state index | -1.10 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |