← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Mar 30, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 65% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.80 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −1.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Holstein Kiel −1.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 15' | 🟨 | Jonas David · Hansa Rostock |
| 31' | 🟨 | Philipp Sander · Holstein Kiel |
| 47' | 🟨 | Juan José Perea · Hansa Rostock |
| 51' | 🟨 | Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel |
| 57' | ⚽ | Lewis Holtby · Holstein Kiel |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marko Ivezić · Holstein Kiel |
| 64' | 🟨 | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 82' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jann-Fiete Arp · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen · Hansa Rostock |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 911.00 | 395.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1595.71 | 1401.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.96 | -0.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 53.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.77 | 27.93 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |