← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 47% | 2.12 |
| Magdeburg win | 29% | 3.35 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Marcel Franke · Karlsruhe |
| 13' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 25' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 29' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
| 40' | ⚽ | Paul Nebel · Karlsruhe |
| 50' | ⚽ | Marcel Beifus · Karlsruhe |
| 51' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 8 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1506.00 | 1140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 3.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1523.59 | 1468.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.10 | 14.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.60 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 38.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | 1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.99 | 27.41 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 1.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |