← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 63% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.91 |
| SV Wehen win | 16% | 5.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1 | 54% | 1.80 |
| SV Wehen −1 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.48 |
| Under | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 49' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · SV Wehen |
| 51' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 67' | 🟨 | Immanuel Pherai · Hamburger SV |
| 85' | ⚽ | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 45.00 | 867.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 0.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1583.31 | 1465.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.71 | 30.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 44.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.60 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 27.18 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |