← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 24% | 4.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Andreas Voglsammer · Hannover |
| 44' | 🟨 | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 53' | ⚽ | Kenny Prince Redondo · Kaiserslautern |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Hannover |
| 67' | 🟨 | Filip Stojilković · Kaiserslautern |
| 68' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 624.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1513.08 | 1426.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.78 | 3.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| league points | 41.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.31 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 26.23 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |