← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Mar 15, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Siebert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 50% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Braunschweig win | 25% | 3.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Kai Klefisch · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 58' | 🟨 | Robert Ivanov · Braunschweig |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Hasan Kuruçay · Braunschweig |
| 61' | ⚽ | Adriano Grimaldi · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 80' | ⚽ | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jannis Nikolaou · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 988.00 | 135.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 1.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1520.89 | 1381.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.08 | -0.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 39.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.92 | 27.91 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |