← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Mar 9, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 43% | 2.30 |
| SV Wehen win | 31% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Hannover +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 33' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Hannover |
| 63' | 🟨 | Gino Fechner · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 859.00 | 617.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1466.00 | 1512.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.57 | 15.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 33.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.90 | 27.37 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |