← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Mar 3, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Magdeburg win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
| 79' | 🟥 | Jan Luca Schuler · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Klaas · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 976.00 | 1126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1522.70 | 1478.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.20 | 14.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.77 |
| league points | 37.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 63.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.88 | 27.25 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |