← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Mar 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 39% | 2.55 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hansa Rostock +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 34' | 🟨 | Oliver Hüsing · Hansa Rostock |
| 37' | 🟨 | Oliver Hüsing · Hansa Rostock |
| 37' | 🟥 | Oliver Hüsing · Hansa Rostock |
| 57' | 🟨 | Kenny Prince Redondo · Kaiserslautern |
| 66' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 72' | 🟨 | Júnior Brumado · Hansa Rostock |
| 75' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 10 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 367.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1398.91 | 1400.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.07 | -37.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| league points | 28.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.55 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 27.37 |
| state index | -0.60 | -1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.09 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |