← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Mar 2, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 34% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Christos Tzolis · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 18' | ⚽ | Christos Tzolis · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 49' | 🟨 | Max Christiansen · Hannover |
| 57' | 🟨 | Bright Arrey-Mbi · Hannover |
| 63' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Hannover |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 86' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lars Gindorf · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 610.00 | 760.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1512.47 | 1580.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.47 | -12.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.64 |
| league points | 39.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.77 | 26.53 |
| state index | 0.53 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |