← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Feb 25, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 67% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.24 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 13% | 8.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Hansa Rostock −1.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.59 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 18' | ⚽ | Ao Tanaka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 45' | 🟨 | Joshua Quarshie · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 3 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Düsseldorf Arena |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 754.00 | 361.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1574.08 | 1405.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.85 | 19.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 37.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.17 | 26.77 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.98 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |