← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Feb 24, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 45% | 2.17 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| VfL Osnabruck +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Lukas Kunze · VfL Osnabruck |
| 37' | 🟨 | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 60' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 61' | ⚽ | Erik Engelhardt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 81' | 🟨 | Max Christiansen · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Philipp Kühn · VfL Osnabruck |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| coach days | 115.00 | 603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1308.09 | 1526.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.22 | 45.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 12.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 27.25 |
| state index | -1.24 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |