← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Feb 24, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Karlsruhe win | 30% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.74 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 28' | 🟨 | Kevin Kraus · Kaiserslautern |
| 49' | 🟨 | Filip Kaloč · Kaiserslautern |
| 51' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 58' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | ⚽ | Paul Nebel · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 23.00 | 1484.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1417.79 | 1496.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.87 | -2.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| league points | 25.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 6.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.90 | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |