← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Feb 24, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Hertha win | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 51' | 🟨 | Robin Krausse · Braunschweig |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Maza · Hertha |
| 77' | 🟥 | Hasan Kuruçay · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ermin Bičakčić · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 115.00 | 329.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1397.93 | 1566.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.60 | -13.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.71 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 23.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.71 | 24.17 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.60 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |