← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Feb 23, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 41% | 2.37 |
| SV Wehen win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| SC Paderborn 07 +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Franko Kovačević · SV Wehen |
| 39' | ⚽ | Koen Kostons · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 54' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · SV Wehen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Kai Klefisch · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 82' | ⚽ | Filip Bilbija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 84' | 🟨 | Raphael Obermair · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bjarke Jacobsen · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 844.00 | 967.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1428.51 | 1513.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.17 | -17.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| league points | 27.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 25.28 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | 0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |