← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Feb 18, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 70% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.28 |
| Braunschweig win | 11% | 8.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −1.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −1.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 39' | 🟨 | Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 40' | 🟨 | Niklas Tauer · Braunschweig |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 67' | 🟥 | Elias Saad · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Anthony Ujah · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 444.00 | 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.48 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1646.89 | 1400.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.35 | 50.22 |
| eye test v1 | 1.69 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 71.90 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| league points | 45.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 38.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 27.03 |
| state index | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -1.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |