← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Feb 18, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 40% | 2.49 |
| Nurnberg win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Nurnberg +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Richmond Tachie · Kaiserslautern |
| 38' | 🟨 | Can Uzun · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Florian Flick · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Nurnberg |
| 49' | 🟨 | Finn Jeltsch · Nurnberg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Filip Kaloč · Kaiserslautern |
| 64' | ⚽ | Can Uzun · Nurnberg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dickson Abiama · Kaiserslautern |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jan Gyamerah · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tymoteusz Puchacz · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 262.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1461.13 | 1414.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.06 | -8.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 32.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 25.33 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |