← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Feb 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Greuther Furth win | 30% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Fabian Kunze · Hannover |
| 29' | ⚽ | Armindo Sieb · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Damian Michalski · Greuther Furth |
| 61' | ⚽ | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 81' | ⚽ | Nicolò Tresoldi · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 595.00 | 595.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1518.03 | 1533.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.25 | 4.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.59 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.85 |
| league points | 36.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 25.23 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |