← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Feb 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Magdeburg win | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hertha −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Jan Luca Schuler · Magdeburg |
| 22' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 33' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 37' | 🟥 | Jean Hugonet · Magdeburg |
| 39' | ⚽ | Pálko Dárdai · Hertha |
| 51' | ⚽ | Tobias Müller · Magdeburg |
| 59' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 68' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · Magdeburg |
| 78' | 🟨 | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jonjoe Kenny · Hertha |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pascal Klemens · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 14 |
| 12 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 321.00 | 1110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 3.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1560.22 | 1468.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.59 | 3.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 32.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.17 | 27.46 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |